Definitions
You can find some
definitions for a reaction. In chemistry, reaction is defined as
”Reaction is a process that leads to the transformation of one set
of chemical substances to another.” When you talk about human
reactions you can define it as ”Something done, felt, or thought in
response to a situation or event.
Reactions have many orders of
effects
Sometimes it is
easy to see the effects on a reaction. One reaction may cause a chain
of reactions where all of the outcomes are very hard to notice. Any
action or behavior has many positive or negative effects or
consequences. All the action you take should have more positive
effects than negative. This doesn´t happen all the time. When you are making decisions, you should try to understand all the effects
they have on your life and to the other people and your environment.
Most people focus on the first order of reactions or
consequences, but it is too simple. In almost any decisions, there
are some consequences of the consequences and you shouldn´t ignore
them.
Lets think about
practicing a skill. You can assume that positive effect is you get
better, when the practice is done well. You can also assume that when you start from a scratch, you start enjoying the practice more, which
is the positive side-effect. The negative side-effect of the first
order positive side-effect may be that when you get better, you may
need better equipment, which costs money. The Negative effect of
practicing a skill may be the need to hire a coach to learn the
basics of the particular skill, which costs money. This may have a
positive side-effect of learning the skill faster than learning on
your own.
Reactions have delays
One reason why
people make mistakes in finding causes for some reactions is they see
some consequences which are actually consequences of the consequences
of things happening way before they can be seen. For example, some
doctor prescribes some medicine for the pain in the back of a
patient. This will relieve some pain, and a patient may feel fine for
a while until the pain comes back even stronger. I am no doctor, but
to me this looks like a situation where the real cause could be
something like a wrong way of sitting in front of the computer and
the effect of the real cause was delayed or formed through time.
The more
complicated or bigger the system is the longer the delay can be. For
example, most of the countries that have dominated the world with
their military or through trading have eventually lost their
position. The real causes are hidden beneath the surface of things
looking very well, and it may take decades before the position is
lost. When youeat the symptoms, things may look good for a while.
But the underlying problems are still there and after the delay the
symptoms may be lot worse.
A complicated world has many
unintended reactions
When
you think about the effects of the effects of reactions, but there
will still be some unintended consequences. Youve in a complicated
world where it is hard to see how everything relates to each other.
Even the smartest people cannot see all cause-effect relationship in
their lives. We should keep this in your mind when you are thinking
about the consequences of some things you want to do. You should
never be so sure about your actions whatever you are doing. For
example, developing a habit of working hard for your physical
appearance. This can have an unintended consequence of having an
unhealthy relationship with food or not spending enough time in
recovering phase of your performance cycle,
which can cause serious injuries or health problems. The unintended
consequences are always there. Most of them do not need serious
consideration, but some of them do. For example, in buying some cheap
items they do not normally matter, but they probably matter in the
expensive ones.
When
your latticework
of mental models is good, you can find some interactions of the
consequences better than without a proper latticework. If you only
have some separate mental models, we cannot prepare for the
consequences as well as we can with the proper latticework. Improving
mental models and understanding their interactions better will give
you a competitive advantage
Sources:
Poor Charlie´s Almanack, Peter Kaufmann, Charles T. Munger
The Fifth Discipline, Peter M. Senge
Early Retirement Extreme, Jacob Lund Fisker
-TT
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